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The Plan to Singularity ("PtS" for short) is an attempt to describe the technologies and efforts needed to move from the current (2000) state of the world to the Singularity; that is, the technological creation of a smarter-than-human intelligence. The method assumed by this document is a seed AI, or self-improving Artificial Intelligence, which will successfully enhance itself to the level where it can decide what to do next.
PtS is an interventionist timeline; that is, I am not projecting the course of the future, but describing how to change it. I believe the target date for the completion of the project should be set at 2010, with 2005 being preferable; again, this is not the most likely date, but is the probable deadline for beating other, more destructive technologies into play. (It is equally possible that progress in AI and nanotech will run at a more relaxed rate, rather than developing in "Internet time". We can't count on finishing by 2005. We also can't count on delaying until 2020.)
PtS is not an introductory-level document. I am assuming you already know what a Singularity is, why a Singularity is desirable, what an Artificial Intelligence is, and so on. For more information about the Singularity, see An Introduction to the Singularity.
As with any other document I publish, I guarantee no perfection and claim no authority; I only believe that publishing the document will prove better than not publishing it. As these words are written, PtS is the very first attempt to sketch a complete path to Singularity; it has no competition. If you're reading these words in a time substantially after 2000, I hope you will appreciate the historical context.
The future sketched in PtS is not intended as speculation. I intend to spend my life making it real. If you believe that the Singularity is a worthwhile goal, and you're interested in making it happen, consider joining the Singularitarian mailing list.
| NOTE: | Since the creation of the Singularity Institute in July 2000, much of this document has become obsolete. See note above. |
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